Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenith · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zenith are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Oddevold are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenith hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Svenska Cupen, while Zenith holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenith
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Zenith has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00