Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Zenit W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Yenisey W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit W hold a 70.6-point power-rating edge (87.8 v 17.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Supreme Division Women, while Zenit W holds the strongest overall chance at 96% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit W
Probability
95.6%
Model confidence
19.7%
Zenit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20