Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Zenit W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ryazan W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit W hold a 58.1-point power-rating edge (87.8 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Supreme Division Women, while Zenit W holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit W
Probability
91.7%
Model confidence
18.3%
Zenit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00