Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Zenit are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Dynamo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (73.2 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Zenit holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
8.8%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40