Zenitvs
Dinamo Makhachkala
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/2/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zenit 3-0 Dinamo Makhachkala
Original prediction
Zenit
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 69.9% | 50.1% | -19.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 19.0% | 25.9% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 8.47 | 11.0% | 24.0% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZenitWLDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo MakhachkalaLLDWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
16.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power36.5
1.45xG0.95