GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zenit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Zenit 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala

Original prediction

Zenit

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2973.5%72.1%-1.4 pts
Draw5.5317.2%16.0%-1.2 pts
Away10.129.4%11.9%2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–010%
  2. 2.3–19%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Zenit

Probability

72.1%

Model confidence

72.1%

Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZenitWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo MakhachkalaDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
75.8Attack48.5
60.6Defence36.4
72.7Form39.4
69.3Power43.0
3.35xG0.97
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