Zenitvs
CSKA Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zenit 1-2 CSKA Moscow
Original prediction
Zenit
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 59.3% | 49.3% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 23.4% | 26.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 5.46 | 17.3% | 24.1% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZenitWWLDW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA MoscowLDWLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZenitCSKA Moscow
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence77.8
100.0Form55.6
98.0Power59.1
1.57xG0.91