Zenitvs
Bate Borisov
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zenit 1-0 Bate Borisov
Original prediction
Zenit
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 15:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 88.4% | 65.5% | -23.0 pts |
| Draw | 11.25 | 8.5% | 19.0% | 10.5 pts |
| Away | 31.00 | 3.1% | 15.5% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZenitDWWLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bate BorisovLDLWD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZenitBate Borisov
73.3Attack42.9
75.6Defence42.9
75.6Form42.9
73.4Power45.4
2.94xG0.70