Zenit U19vs
Spartak Moskva U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zenit U19 3-2 Spartak Moskva U19
Original prediction
Zenit U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.4% | 60.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.0% | 20.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.6% | 19.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Zenit U19
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Zenit U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80