Zenit Penzavs
Strogino
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strogino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zenit Penza are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Strogino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Strogino hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Second League - Group 3, while Strogino holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Strogino
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
12.5%
Strogino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20