Zenit Penzavs
SKA Khabarovsk II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SKA Khabarovsk II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zenit Penza 2-1 SKA Khabarovsk II
Original prediction
SKA Khabarovsk II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.4% | 33.6% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 22.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 43.5% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
SKA Khabarovsk II
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
SKA Khabarovsk II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20