GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Zenit Penza are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shumbrat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shumbrat

Probability

72.9%

Model confidence

72.9%

Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zenit PenzaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ShumbratLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Zenit PenzaShumbrat
33.3Attack64.9
29.6Defence56.1
25.9Form63.2
31.5Power62.2
0.86xG2.75
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