Zenit Penzavs
Shumbrat
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Zenit Penza are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shumbrat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shumbrat
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80