GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 7/29/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Saturn Ramenskoye · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Zenit Penza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Saturn Ramenskoye are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Saturn Ramenskoye hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Saturn Ramenskoye holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Saturn Ramenskoye

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Saturn Ramenskoye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zenit PenzaDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Saturn RamenskoyeWLWWW

GF 19 · GA 11 · avg 3.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Zenit PenzaSaturn Ramenskoye
33.3Attack52.6
29.6Defence50.9
25.9Form54.4
31.5Power54.1
0.99xG2.18
View match centre →