GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 8/6/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zenit 2 · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Zenit 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Zvezda St. Petersburg are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit 2 hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (71.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the Second League - Group 2, while Zenit 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zenit 2

Probability

71.8%

Model confidence

71.8%

Zenit 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zenit 2DWLLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Zvezda St. PetersburgLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Zenit 2Zvezda St. Petersburg
66.7Attack45.1
78.4Defence51.0
72.5Form39.2
71.3Power46.8
2.26xG0.60
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