Zemunvs
Radnik Surdulica
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radnik Surdulica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zemun 1-1 Radnik Surdulica
Original prediction
Radnik Surdulica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 28.5% | 28.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 28.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.9% | 43.6% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Radnik Surdulica
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Radnik Surdulica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40