Super LigaSuper Liga
Sunday, 2 August 202619:00Updated today
Zemun

Zemun

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vs
19:00
Radnicki NIS

Radnicki NIS

Away
L
Zemun Stadium
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Zemun(46%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Zemun
46%
Draw
26%
Radnicki NIS
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.48 xG for Zemun and 1.04 xG for Radnicki NIS. Radnicki NIS's projected xG of 1.04 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.52 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Radnicki NIS)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Radnicki NIS)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Radnicki NISRadnicki NIS
LLL

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Zemun46%
Draw26%
Radnicki NIS29%

Zemun leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Zemun Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Zemun host Radnicki NIS in Super Liga. Zemun have recorded DDLWDL in recent matches while Radnicki NIS arrive with a run of WLWLLL. These sides have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.8 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.48 expected goals for Zemun against 1.04 for Radnicki NIS — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Zemun have averaged 1.30 goals per game recently while Radnicki NIS have managed 0.78. Zemun carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its Zemun win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Radnicki NIS have won 2 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Zemun carry the stronger underlying metrics, Radnicki NIS's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Zemun are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.48 projected against 1.04 for Radnicki NIS. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.45 is the clearest signal in the model that Zemun are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Zemun's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Radnicki NIS defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Zemun fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Zemun have been conceding 2.05 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 4 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Radnicki NIS

Radnicki NIS

L
@ Železničar Pančevo
17 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Neftchi Baku
10 Jul 2026
03
L
@ TSC Backa Topola
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zemun vs Radnicki NIS?

GoalVio's model predicts Zemun to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zemun vs Radnicki NIS?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Zemun vs Radnicki NIS?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zemun vs Radnicki NIS?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more