Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zemun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Zemun are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mornar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zemun hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 21.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Zemun holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zemun
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Zemun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20