Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zemun 0-0 Macva, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zemun 1-0 Macva
Original prediction
Macva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.1% | 32.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 29.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.9% | 38.6% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Zemun 0–0 Macva
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Macva
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Macva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZemunLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MacvaDDLLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ZemunMacva
16.7Attack25.0
30.6Defence44.4
8.3Form27.8
22.5Power35.3
0.89xG1.03