Super Liga
Zemun
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FK Partizan
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
The model projects 1.40 xG for Zemun and 1.26 xG for FK Partizan. FK Partizan's projected xG of 1.26 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.66 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFK PartizanProbability breakdown
Zemun leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Zemun Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Zemun take on FK Partizan in Super Liga.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Zemun hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Zemun.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Zemun, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If FK Partizan score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Zemun have been conceding 2.05 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠These sides have drawn 2 of their last 6 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.13 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
Recent form
FK Partizan
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Zemun vs FK Partizan?
GoalVio's model predicts Zemun to win with 37% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Zemun vs FK Partizan?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Zemun vs FK Partizan?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zemun vs FK Partizan?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.