Zemunvs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zemun 0-2 FK Crvena Zvezda
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20.23 | 4.5% | 16.6% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 9.42 | 9.7% | 20.1% | 10.4 pts |
| Away | 1.07 | 85.8% | 63.3% | -22.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40