Zemplín Michalovcevs
Dukla Banská Bystrica
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zemplín Michalovce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zemplín Michalovce 1-0 Dukla Banská Bystrica
Original prediction
Zemplín Michalovce
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.6% | 55.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.0% | 22.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.4% | 21.4% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Zemplín Michalovce
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Zemplín Michalovce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40