Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houtvenne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zelzate 0-3 Houtvenne
Original prediction
Houtvenne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.0% | 26.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.7% | 23.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.3% | 49.5% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Houtvenne
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Houtvenne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZelzateLLDLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HoutvenneWWWLL
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ZelzateHoutvenne
44.4Attack100.0
11.1Defence55.6
11.1Form100.0
25.8Power85.5
1.33xG2.34