Zelzatevs
Hoogstraten
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoogstraten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zelzate 1-4 Hoogstraten
Original prediction
Hoogstraten
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.1% | 32.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hoogstraten
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Hoogstraten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00