Zeljeznicar Sarajevovs
Velež
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3-1 Velež
Original prediction
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.0% | 42.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.4% | 28.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.6% | 29.3% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80