Zeljeznicar Sarajevovs
Siroki Brijeg
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1-1 Siroki Brijeg
Original prediction
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.4% | 36.2% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 28.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.3% | 34.9% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80