Zeljeznicar Sarajevovs
FK Sarajevo
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Sarajevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0-0 FK Sarajevo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2-0 FK Sarajevo
Original prediction
FK Sarajevo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.86 | 23.3% | 31.6% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.3% | 30.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.4% | 38.0% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0–0 FK Sarajevo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FK Sarajevo
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
FK Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40