Zebbug Rangersvs
Swieqi United
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swieqi United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zebbug Rangers 1-0 Swieqi United
Original prediction
Swieqi United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.83 | 6.6% | 24.2% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.25 | 14.5% | 22.8% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 79.0% | 53.0% | -25.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Swieqi United
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Swieqi United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40