Zebbug Rangersvs
Melita
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/23/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melita · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zebbug Rangers 1-2 Melita
Original prediction
Melita
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.39 | 14.1% | 25.9% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.3% | 25.6% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.6% | 48.5% | -16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Melita
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Melita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Zebbug RangersLWLLD
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MelitaLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Zebbug RangersMelita
25.0Attack33.3
25.0Defence66.7
25.0Form33.3
28.9Power44.6
1.07xG1.45