Zebbug Rangersvs
Fgura United
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fgura United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zebbug Rangers 0-4 Fgura United
Original prediction
Fgura United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.67 | 15.9% | 32.0% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 21.9% | 22.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.3% | 45.1% | -17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Fgura United
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Fgura United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00