Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 202609:15Updated today
Zbrojovka Brno

Zbrojovka Brno

Home
W
vs
09:15
Hanácká

Hanácká

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hanácká33%
Zbrojovka Brno33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Zbrojovka Brno
33%
Draw
33%
Hanácká
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zbrojovka Brno
73
Hanácká
94
Defence
Zbrojovka Brno
91
Hanácká
66
Momentum
Zbrojovka Brno
100
Hanácká
100
Danger (xG)
Zbrojovka Brno
1.80
Hanácká
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.47 xG for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.07 xG for Hanácká — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Zbrojovka Brno holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Zbrojovka Brno's Attack Score (73) exceeds Hanácká's Defensive Stability (66), and Hanácká's attack (94) similarly tests Zbrojovka Brno's defence (91). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.54 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Zbrojovka Brno)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Hanácká)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Zbrojovka Brno)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Hanácká)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
WWD
HanáckáHanácká
WWD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Zbrojovka Brno33%
Draw33%
Hanácká33%

Hanácká leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Zbrojovka Brno Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Zbrojovka Brno host Hanácká in Friendlies Clubs. Zbrojovka Brno have recorded WWWLWW in recent matches while Hanácká arrive with a run of WLLWWD. These sides have met 9 times recently, averaging 2.7 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🔄 Head-to-Head Pattern These sides have drawn 5 of their last 9 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals per game — a historically tight fixture pattern that aligns with the model's draw projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.47 for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.07 for Hanácká. The gap of 1.40 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 5 of their last 9 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Zbrojovka Brno 0Draws 10 Hanácká
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
16 May 2026
Zbrojovka Brno
D11
Hanácká

Recent form

Zbrojovka Brno

Zbrojovka Brno

W
vs Podbrezová
17 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Nyiregyhaza
30 Jun 2026
30
D
@ Hanácká
16 May 2026
11
Hanácká

Hanácká

W
@ Spartak Trnava
10 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Zlin
27 Jun 2026
20
D
vs Zbrojovka Brno
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs Hanácká?

GoalVio's model predicts Zbrojovka Brno to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zbrojovka Brno vs Hanácká?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Zbrojovka Brno vs Hanácká?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zbrojovka Brno vs Hanácká?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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