Ząbkovia Ząbkivs
Pelikan Łowicz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ząbkovia Ząbki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ząbkovia Ząbki 2-1 Pelikan Łowicz
Original prediction
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.8% | 39.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 21.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.0% | 38.9% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Ząbkovia Ząbki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60