Ząbkovia Ząbkivs
Mławianka Mława
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ząbkovia Ząbki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ząbkovia Ząbki 3-4 Mławianka Mława
Original prediction
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.1% | 47.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.9% | 25.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Ząbkovia Ząbki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00