GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ząbkovia Ząbki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Ząbkovia Ząbki are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ząbkovia Ząbki hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Ząbkovia Ząbki holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ząbkovia Ząbki

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Ząbkovia Ząbki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ząbkovia ZąbkiLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Jagiellonia IIWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ząbkovia ZąbkiJagiellonia II
70.6Attack48.0
37.3Defence46.1
43.1Form44.1
49.6Power46.8
2.50xG1.67
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