Zawisza Bydgoszczvs
Znicz Pruszków
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/11/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Znicz Pruszków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0-1 Znicz Pruszków
Original prediction
Znicz Pruszków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 35.8% | 32.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.4% | 27.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 38.8% | 39.9% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Znicz Pruszków
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Znicz Pruszków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40