Zawisza Bydgoszczvs
Świt Skolwin
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zawisza Bydgoszcz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-2 Świt Skolwin
Original prediction
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 56.4% | 58.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.2% | 22.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.4% | 19.3% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60