Zawisza Bydgoszczvs
Olimpia Grudziądz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zawisza Bydgoszcz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-2 Olimpia Grudziądz
Original prediction
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.9% | 39.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.3% | 28.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 34.9% | 32.5% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00