Zawisza Bydgoszczvs
Legia Warszawa II
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 8/29/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zawisza Bydgoszcz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-1 Legia Warszawa II
Original prediction
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.2% | 43.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 27.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.1% | 29.6% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40