GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/12/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zaragoza · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Zaragoza are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Villarreal II are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zaragoza hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Segunda División, while Zaragoza holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zaragoza

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Zaragoza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZaragozaLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Villarreal IILWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 2.25/0.50

BTTS 0/4O2.5 2/4
ZaragozaVillarreal II
33.3Attack32.5
66.7Defence50.8
40.5Form34.1
48.6Power41.5
1.07xG0.58
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