GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/18/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Zaragoza are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Valladolid are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valladolid hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZaragozaWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValladolidWDWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZaragozaValladolid
33.3Attack40.5
66.7Defence71.4
40.5Form57.1
48.6Power57.8
0.59xG0.76
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