Zaragozavs
FC Cartagena
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaragoza · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zaragoza 0-0 FC Cartagena, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaragoza 1-0 FC Cartagena
Original prediction
Zaragoza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.8% | 41.3% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 30.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 5.25 | 17.2% | 28.0% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Projected Score
Zaragoza 0–0 FC Cartagena
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Zaragoza
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Zaragoza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZaragozaWWLLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC CartagenaDDWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZaragozaFC Cartagena
50.0Attack32.5
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power51.9
0.91xG0.76