Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karvan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Zaqatala are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Karvan are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Karvan hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Birinci Dasta, while Karvan holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karvan
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Karvan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.33