Zaqatalavs
Baku Sportinq
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zaqatala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zaqatala 3-0 Baku Sportinq
Original prediction
Zaqatala
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 27.9% | 40.7% | 12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 26.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.6% | 32.5% | -13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Zaqatala
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Zaqatala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40