Zamoravs
UD Logroñés
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/6/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zamora · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zamora 1-2 UD Logroñés
Original prediction
Zamora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.2% | 40.1% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.8% | 29.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 23.1% | 30.2% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Zamora
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Zamora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60