Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zamora · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zamora 2-0 CD Coria
Original prediction
Zamora
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.9% | 41.8% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 29.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.59 | 19.7% | 29.2% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Zamora
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Zamora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZamoraWLWLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CD CoriaDDLWL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ZamoraCD Coria
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power50.0
1.19xG1.00