GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/17/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Zamora FC are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Boston River are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boston River hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zamora FCLLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Boston RiverLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Zamora FCBoston River
16.7Attack16.7
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form41.7
21.5Power50.3
0.87xG1.07
View match centre →