GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 9/16/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fundación Lara Deportiva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Zamora FC B 0-2 Fundación Lara Deportiva

Original prediction

Fundación Lara Deportiva

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4236.6%33.3%-3.3 pts
Draw3.2427.3%29.0%1.7 pts
Away2.4436.1%37.7%1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–19%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Fundación Lara Deportiva

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Fundación Lara Deportiva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zamora FC BWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fundación Lara DeportivaDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Zamora FC BFundación Lara Deportiva
51.4Attack57.3
54.2Defence64.0
47.2Form58.7
52.3Power60.4
1.16xG1.47
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