Zambia U20vs
Botswana U20
COMPLETEDWorld · COSAFA U20 Championship · 9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zambia U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zambia U20 3-1 Botswana U20
Original prediction
Zambia U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 71.5% | 55.0% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.07 | 17.8% | 23.8% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 8.43 | 10.7% | 21.2% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Zambia U20
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Zambia U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00