GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 9/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zamalek SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Zamalek SC 1-0 Abu Qair Semad, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Zamalek SC 2-0 Abu Qair Semad

Original prediction

Zamalek SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3866.2%53.4%-12.8 pts
Draw4.2521.6%26.5%4.9 pts
Away7.5012.2%20.1%7.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.8 pts

Projected Score

Zamalek SC 1–0 Abu Qair Semad

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Zamalek SC

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Zamalek SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zamalek SCWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Abu Qair SemadLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Zamalek SCAbu Qair Semad
55.6Attack11.1
88.9Defence55.6
77.8Form33.3
74.7Power37.2
1.43xG0.66
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