Zalaegerszegi TEvs
Nyiregyhaza
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/11/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyiregyhaza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1 Nyiregyhaza
Original prediction
Nyiregyhaza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.6% | 32.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.3% | 29.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 38.1% | 38.2% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Nyiregyhaza
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Nyiregyhaza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40