GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 8/6/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Zalaegerszegi TE are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MTK Budapest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (30.4 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the NB I, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zalaegerszegi TELLLDW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MTK BudapestDWDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Zalaegerszegi TEMTK Budapest
55.6Attack88.9
0.0Defence33.3
33.3Form44.4
30.4Power54.9
1.80xG2.21
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